Computer and Modernization ›› 2012, Vol. 208 ›› Issue (12): 178-183.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-2475.2012.12.046

• 应用与开发 • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Research on Risk Evaluation Model of MIS Project Based on D-S Evidence Theory

LI Peng, WANG Chen   

  1. School of Management Science and Engineering, Shandong Normal University, Jinan 250014, China
  • Received:2012-08-14 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2012-12-22 Published:2012-12-22

Abstract: This paper analyses the analyses, design and implementation three stages of the process of software development, from the three aspects of technology, cost, schedule of MIS project risk. Achieves the answers given by the MIS project developers on the basis of knowledge, experience, preferences, collects the greater risk indicators in each factor. Makes use of the theory of D-S evidence fuse according to the assurance given by experts on the risk indicators of risk probability and risk loss. Finally, gets a comprehensive evaluation of risk for the MIS project. An example illustrates the validity for the MIS evaluation of risk.

Key words: evidence theory, MIS project, evaluation of risk, software project

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